Q2.5 2026 Timelines Update: Uplift and Revenue
blog.aifutures.org · 3,953 words · saved by 2 readers
More methods for forecasting coding automation
Tl;dr: Our timelines haven’t changed much (they got slightly shorter) but our modeling and evidence base have noticeably improved, so we feel somewhat more confident. We intend to regularly update our AI timelines forecasts as new evidence comes in and new analyses are done. Today’s “Q2” update was delayed by the crunch to publish AI 2040: Plan A, our domestic regulation blog post, and the time needed to implement and document changes to our model. The original AI Futures Model predicted when Automated Coder (AC), an AI for which the leading AI company would rather fire its human software…
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