What 2026 looks like — AI Alignment Forum
alignmentforum.org · 10,228 words · saved by 4 readers
Daniel Kokotajlo presents his best attempt at a concrete, detailed guess of what 2022 through 2026 will look like, as an exercise in forecasting. It…
x What 2026 looks like — AI Alignment Forum AI Timelines AI Timelines Forecasting & Prediction Forecasts (Specific Predictions) AI Persuasion AI Takeoff Fuzzies AI Curated 127 What 2026 looks like by Daniel Kokotajlo 6th Aug 2021 20 min read 174 127 This was written for the Vignettes Workshop . [1] The goal is to write out a detailed future history (“trajectory”) that is as realistic (to me) as I can currently manage, i.e. I’m not aware of any alternative trajectory that is similarly detailed and clearly more plausible to me. The methodology is roughly: Write a future history of 2022. Conditio
saved by
related reading
- What 2026 looks like — LessWronglesswrong.com
- What 2026 looks like — AI Alignment Forumalignmentforum.org
- AI 2027ai-2027.com
- AI 2027ai-2027.com
- AI Futures Model: Dec 2025 Updateblog.aifutures.org
- My picture of the present in AI - by Ryan Greenblattblog.redwoodresearch.org
- Before he wrote AI 2027, he predicted the world in 2026. How did he do?substack.com
- Before he wrote AI 2027, he predicted the world in 2026. How did he do?asteriskmag.substack.com
- AI in 2025: gestalt — LessWronglesswrong.com
- AI 2027ai-2027.com
- Evaluating “What 2026 Looks Like” So Far — LessWronglesswrong.com
- My picture of the present in AI — LessWronglesswrong.com