AI 2027
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A research-backed AI scenario forecast.
AI 2027 April 3rd 2025 PDF Listen Watch Daniel Kokotajlo, Scott Alexander, Thomas Larsen, Eli Lifland, Romeo Dean We predict that the impact of superhuman AI over the next decade will be enormous, exceeding that of the Industrial Revolution. We wrote a scenario that represents our best guess about what that might look like. 1 It’s informed by trend extrapolations, wargames, expert feedback, experience at OpenAI, and previous forecasting successes. 2 What is this? How did we write it? Why is it valuable? Who are we? The CEOs of OpenAI , Google DeepMind , and Anthropic have all predicted that AG
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