My picture of the present in AI — LessWrong
In this post, I'll go through some of my best guesses for the current situation in AI as of the start of April 2026. You can think of this as a scena…
x My picture of the present in AI — LessWrong AI Capabilities AI Personal Blog 2026 Top Fifty: 13 % 129 My picture of the present in AI by ryan_greenblatt 7th Apr 2026 AI Alignment Forum 13 min read 25 129 Ω 41 In this post, I'll go through some of my best guesses for the current situation in AI as of the start of April 2026. You can think of this as a scenario forecast , but for the present (which is already uncertain!) rather than the future. I will generally state my best guess without argumentation and without explaining my level of confidence: some of these claims are highly speculative w
saved by
related reading
- AI Timelines — LessWronglesswrong.com
- My picture of the present in AI - by Ryan Greenblattblog.redwoodresearch.org
- AI 2027ai-2027.com
- AI progress is about to speed up | Epoch AIepoch.ai
- AI in 2025: gestalt — LessWronglesswrong.com
- AI #184: Post Post Mortemthezvi.substack.com
- I. From GPT-4 to AGI: Counting the OOMs - SITUATIONAL AWARENESSsituational-awareness.ai
- A History of the Future, 2025-2027 - by Rudolf Lainenosetgauge.com
- AI 2027ai-2027.com
- The Short Case for Nvidia Stock | YouTube Transcript Optimizeryoutubetranscriptoptimizer.com
- What 2026 looks like — LessWronglesswrong.com
- Clarifying and predicting AGI — LessWronglesswrong.com