What the hell happened with AGI timelines in 2026?
80000hours.substack.com · 10,505 words · saved by 1 readers
7 key lines of evidence we got this year — and what they do and don't show.
This is a cross-post of one of our recent podcast episodes hosted by Rob Wiblin, lightly edited for readability. This episode was written and recorded before OpenAI’s AI agents hacked Hugging Face. You can read about the incident elsewhere on our Substack. Earlier this year I put out what might just be the worst-timed thing I’ve ever published. I set out to explain why everyone was again feeling bearish about AI, and people’s timelines to AGI [artificial general intelligence] were getting longer and longer. Just as I was wrapping up the research for it, everything changed. The vibes did a…
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