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Will scaling work? - by Dwarkesh Patel - Dwarkesh Podcast
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Data bottlenecks, generalization benchmarks, primate evolution, intelligence as compression, world modelers, and other considerations
Blog Will scaling work? Data bottlenecks, generalization benchmarks, primate evolution, intelligence as compression, world modelers, and other considerations Dwarkesh Patel Dec 26, 2023 360 50 33 Share Article voiceover 0:00 -25:43 Audio playback is not supported on your browser. Please upgrade. Listen on Apple Podcasts , Spotify , or any other podcast platform . When should we expect AGI? If we can keep scaling LLMs++ (and get better and more general performance as a result), then there’s reason to expect powerful AIs by 2040 (or much sooner) which can automate most cognitive labor and speed
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