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My picture of the present in AI — LessWrong

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In this post, I'll go through some of my best guesses for the current situation in AI as of the start of April 2026. You can think of this as a scena…

x My picture of the present in AI — LessWrong AI Capabilities AI Personal Blog 2026 Top Fifty: 13 % 129 My picture of the present in AI by ryan_greenblatt 7th Apr 2026 AI Alignment Forum 13 min read 25 129 Ω 41 In this post, I'll go through some of my best guesses for the current situation in AI as of the start of April 2026. You can think of this as a scenario forecast , but for the present (which is already uncertain!) rather than the future. I will generally state my best guess without argumentation and without explaining my level of confidence: some of these claims are highly speculative w

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