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The Scaling Hypothesis · Gwern.net

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On GPT-3: meta-learning, scaling, implications, and deep theory. The scaling hypothesis: neural nets absorb data & compute, generalizing and becoming more Bayesian as problems get harder, manifesting new abilities even at trivial-by-global-standards-scale. The deep learning revolution has begun as foretold.

--- title: "The Scaling Hypothesis" description: "On GPT-3: meta-learning, scaling, implications, and deep theory. The scaling hypothesis: neural nets absorb data & compute, generalizing and becoming more Bayesian as problems get harder, manifesting new abilities even at trivial-by-global-standards-scale. The deep learning revolution has begun as foretold." thumbnail: /doc/ai/nn/transformer/gpt/2020-brown-gpt3-figure13-meanperformancescalingcurve.png thumbnail-text: "Figure 1.3 from Brown et al 2020 (OpenAI, GPT-3), showing roughly log-scaling of GPT-3 parameter/compute size vs benchmark perfo

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