AIs can now often do massive easy-to-verify SWE tasks and I've updated towards shorter timelines — LessWrong
I've recently updated towards substantially shorter AI timelines and much faster progress in some areas. [1] The largest updates I've made are (1) an…
x AIs can now often do massive easy-to-verify SWE tasks and I've updated towards shorter timelines — LessWrong AI Timelines AI Frontpage 2026 Top Fifty: 14 % 201 AIs can now often do massive easy-to-verify SWE tasks and I've updated towards shorter timelines by ryan_greenblatt 6th Apr 2026 AI Alignment Forum 16 min read 16 201 Ω 65 I've recently updated towards substantially shorter AI timelines and much faster progress in some areas. [1] The largest updates I've made are (1) an almost 2x higher probability of full AI R&D automation by EOY 2028 (I'm now a bit below 30% [2] while I was previous
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