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Clarifying and predicting AGI — LessWrong

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This post is a slightly-adapted summary of two twitter threads, here and here. …

x Clarifying and predicting AGI — LessWrong Twitter threads AI Timelines Forecasts (Specific Predictions) AI Frontpage 143 Clarifying and predicting AGI by Richard_Ngo 4th May 2023 AI Alignment Forum 5 min read 45 143 Ω 50 This post is a slightly-adapted summary of two twitter threads, here and here . The t-AGI framework As we get closer to AGI, it becomes less appropriate to treat it as a binary threshold. Instead, I prefer to treat it as a continuous spectrum defined by comparison to time-limited humans. I call a system a t-AGI if, on most cognitive tasks, it beats most human experts who are

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