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🔮 IT’S OVER - The Oracle by Polymarket

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For the first time, an AI has placed in the top 1% of a major forecasting tournament. Here is how it works.

🔮 IT’S OVER For the first time, an AI has placed in the top 1% of a major forecasting tournament. Here is how it works. Polymarket Jan 21, 2026 56 10 7 Share Toby Shevlane is CEO and co-founder of Mantic , a London-based startup working on applying AI to forecasting. Mantic’s automated system has just placed fourth (out of roughly 500 entrants) in the 2025 Metaculus Fall Cup. This puts it well into the top 1% of human forecasters, and by far the best performing AI forecasting system that we are aware of. The Oracle spoke to Shevlane about why most AI forecasters fail to extract value from new

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