Toward an O*NET for AI R&D

Proposing a new way to track AI research automation

Gradient Updates Toward an O*NET for AI R&D Proposing a new way to track AI research automation JS Denain , joe , and Anson Ho Jun 17, 2026 20 5 Share This post is part of Epoch AI’s Gradient Updates newsletter, which shares more opinionated or informal takes on big questions in AI progress. These posts solely represent the views of the authors, and do not necessarily reflect the views of Epoch AI as a whole. What trends are we extrapolating? A common way that experts forecast AI timelines is so simple it’s hard to believe : trend extrapolation. Sure they also use numerical models that bake in

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