The software intelligence explosion debate needs experiments | Epoch AI
The existing debate rests on data and assumptions that are shakier than most people realize. To make progress, we need better evidence, and experiments are the best way to get it on the margin.
The software intelligence explosion debate needs experiments | Epoch AI Gradient Updates shares more opinionated or informal takes on big questions in AI progress. These posts solely represent the views of the authors, and do not necessarily reflect the views of Epoch AI as a whole. Suppose you had a million AIs, each surpassing humanity’s best AI researchers. If they all worked on advancing AI, how much would AI progress accelerate? This might sound like science fiction, but it may be the most consequential question about the future of AI. The problem is that the experts disagree wildly on th
saved by
related reading
- How quick and big would a software intelligence explosion be?forethought.org
- The least understood driver of AI progress | Epoch AIepoch.ai
- Will AI R&D Automation Cause a Software Intelligence Explosion?forethought.org
- Will Compute Bottlenecks Prevent a Software Intelligence Explosion?forethought.org
- Do the returns to software R&D point towards a singularity? | Epoch AIepochai.org
- AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besirogludwarkesh.com
- Will the Need to Retrain AI Models from Scratch Block a Software Intelligence Explosion?forethought.org
- II. From AGI to Superintelligence: the Intelligence Explosion - SITUATIONAL AWARENESSsituational-awareness.ai
- Full automation of AI R&D probably yields a large speed up even without a software-only singularityblog.redwoodresearch.org
- Three Types of Intelligence Explosionforethought.org
- Preparing for the Intelligence Explosionforethought.org
- Will parallelization limits delay an intelligence explosion?epoch.ai