flâneur

Arunim Agarwal

1 followers · 8 following · 269 views

on the atlas — 82

highlights — 17

  • The government should have the power to block or deter deployment of the model if it is determined, in light of third-party assessment, to present unacceptable risks. This power must be scoped to the above four specific risks and there must be protective measures against political favoritism or arbitrary decisions.
    Dario Amodei — Policy on the AI Exponential
  • If this standard was applied across the industry, we believe it would essentially halt all new model deployments for all frontier model providers.
    Statement on the US government directive to suspend access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 \ Anthropic
  • The wave will be slower than expected.
    We Need Unhobbled Donors - by Saheb Gulati
  • An individual donor provides value to the field because they have a distinct theory of victory and risk appetite.
    We Need Unhobbled Donors - by Saheb Gulati
  • He is not content with any one good or great deed, but always seeks to top himself; and furthermore, for all the worldly esteem he may attain, he, in all his greatness, knows that not even the esteem of history is the most important a man can attain, but that of God
    Character of the Happy Warrior
  • His law and dearest friend is Reason; he owes all of his triumphs to Virtue. If he achieves high station, he does so honestly; if he cannot act honestly whilst in office, he would sooner quit. Because he is single-mindedly faithful, he does not seek his own advancement.
    Character of the Happy Warrior
  • All fearsome challenges he transmutes, subduing what negative qualities they may have, and learning from what good they have to offer. The warrior is "skilful in self-knowledge" (like the philosophers of ancient Greece, living by the famous injunction to "know one's self") and understands that the true purpose of "suffering and distress" is to grow in compassion and "tenderness".
    Character of the Happy Warrior
  • The Happy Warrior is a generous spirit, who, amidst, or, in spite of, the tasks of real life, hath done what pleased his innocent, "childish thought". His noble ideas and deeds are "an inward light" (not unlike the Quaker belief in an inner light) that, despite their inwardness, make the path before the warrior "always bright."
    Character of the Happy Warrior
  • in a large group, everyone needs to be autonomously making frequent, high-quality, local prioritization decisions, without needing a round-trip through me. To get there, they need to be ambiently aware of: what else is going on around them, so they can coordinate and update on new info quickly (“oh, we’re planning to kick off the next derisking run in three days, so I have to have my new RL environment ready and tested by then”) how their goal fits into the overall project, so they can make correct decisions about the details of their approach (“we’re trying to scale up as much as possible rig…
    How I've run major projects | benkuhn.net
  • Run a fast OODA loop OODA stands for “observe, orient, decide, act”—in other words, the process by which you update your plans and behavior based on new information.
    How I've run major projects | benkuhn.net
  • The plan is important because whether or not we’re achieving the plan is the best way to figure out how well or badly things are going. Knowing how well or badly things are going is important because it tells me when to start asking for more support, cutting scope, escalating problems, and otherwise sounding more alarms. One of the most common megaproject failure modes is to not freak out soon enough, and having a concrete plan is the best antidote.
    How I've run major projects | benkuhn.net
  • A specific tool that I’ve found critical for staying oriented and updating quickly is a detailed plan for victory, i.e., a list of steps, as concrete as possible, that end with the goal being achieved.
    How I've run major projects | benkuhn.net
  • Even more importantly than freeing up time, clearing my schedule made sure the project was the top idea in my mind. If I don’t do that, it’s easy for me to let projects “go on autopilot,” where I keep them running but don’t proactively make time to think through things like whether we should change goals, add or drop priorities, or do other “non-obvious” things.
    How I've run major projects | benkuhn.net
  • if you look at 2025, Anthropic’s revenue was growing at an absurdly fast rate for that year, fast enough to reach 100% of global GDP by May 2030. You could reasonably look at that and say sure, their revenue growth is impressive, but the line can’t keep going up, it has to taper off eventually. No way they’ll hit that number by mid-2030. You’d probably have felt pretty confident in making that claim, I know a lot of people did. But what did the line do? It bent upwards. Revenue started growing at a cool 80x per year, instead of 10x per year.
    What if the AI line just keeps going up? - by Jesse
  • at its current rate of exponential growth, Anthropic ARR will hit 100% of current global GDP, i.e. around $126 trillion dollars, in December 2027.
    What if the AI line just keeps going up? - by Jesse
  • Even if the White House ultimately decides to reject mandatory vetting of AI models, lobbyists increasingly believe such a regime could emerge at some point in the future — particularly when more advanced models emerge or if Democrats, who are generally more supportive of AI rules, take control of the government. To prepare for that possibility, some companies are weighing whether to participate in voluntary testing, according to the AI policy adviser. “You cannot avoid technological and political change,” the first lobbyist said. “So I suspect even if this effort ends in voluntary CAISI revie…
    White House’s ‘lack of organization’ has AI lobbyists fretting - POLITICO
  • The administration’s recent messages to industry have complicated expectations that President Donald Trump would take a hands-off approach to overseeing AI. That assumption took a hit this spring with the emergence of Mythos, a new AI model developed by Anthropic with the potential to supercharge cybersecurity risks. Top Trump officials, including chief of staff Susie Wiles and National Cyber Director Sean Cairncross, moved quickly to address the potential threat — and soon began discussing a slate of possible actions, including an executive order that would require companies to get a green li…
    White House’s ‘lack of organization’ has AI lobbyists fretting - POLITICO