Thoughts by a non-economist on AI and economics – Windows On Theory
Crossposted on lesswrong Modern humans first emerged about 100,000 years ago. For the next 99,800 years or so, nothing happened. Well, not quite nothing. There were wars, political intrigue, the in…
Crossposted on lesswrong Modern humans first emerged about 100,000 years ago. For the next 99,800 years or so, nothing happened. Well, not quite nothing. There were wars, political intrigue, the invention of agriculture — but none of that stuff had much effect on the quality of people’s lives. Almost everyone lived on the modern equivalent of $400 to $600 a year, just above the subsistence level … Then — just a couple of hundred years ago, maybe 10 generations — people started getting richer. And richer and richer still. Per capita income, at least in the West, began to
related reading
- Economics and Transformative AI | Tom Cunningham – Tom Cunninghamtecunningham.github.io
- Why transformative artificial intelligence is really, really hard to achievethegradient.pub
- Forecasts of AI & Economic Growth | Tom Cunningham – Tom Cunninghamtecunningham.github.io
- Why I think AI take-off is relatively slow - Marginal REVOLUTIONmarginalrevolution.com
- AK or just okay? AI and economic growthjzmazlish.substack.com
- Scenarios for our Economic Futureanthropic.com
- AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besirogludwarkesh.com
- The AI Industrial Explosion — Part 1: Maximum growth rates with current production methodsdefensesindepth.bio
- w31815.pdfnber.org
- Three Observations - Sam Altmanblog.samaltman.com
- Introducing the Anthropic Economic Index \ Anthropicanthropic.com
- Preparing for the Intelligence Explosionforethought.org