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Thoughts on The Curve - by Nathan Lambert - Interconnects

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I spent the weekend debating AI timelines, among other things, at The Curve conference. This translates as spending the weekend thinking about the trajectory of AI progress with a mix of DC and SF types. This is a worthwhile event that served as a great, high-bandwidth way to check in on timelines and expectations of the AI industry. Share My most striking takeaway is that the AI 2027 sequence of events, from AI models automating research engineers to later automating AI research, and potentially a singularity if your reasoning is so inclined, is becoming a standard by which many debates on AI progress operate under and tinker with. It’s good that many people are taking the long term seriously, but there’s a risk in so many people assuming a certain sequence of events is a sure thing and only debating the timeframe by which they arrive. I’ve documented my views on the near term of AI progress and not much has changed, but through repetition I’m developing a more refined version of the

Thoughts on The Curve The conference and the trajectory. Nathan Lambert Oct 07, 2025 68 14 9 Share Article voiceover 0:00 -11:58 Audio playback is not supported on your browser. Please upgrade. I spent the weekend debating AI timelines, among other things, at The Curve conference. This translates as spending the weekend thinking about the trajectory of AI progress with a mix of DC and SF types. This is a worthwhile event that served as a great, high-bandwidth way to check in on timelines and expectations of the AI industry. Share Updating timelines My most striking takeaway is that the AI 2027

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