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My picture of the present in AI - by Ryan Greenblatt

blog.redwoodresearch.org · 3,555 words · saved by 2 readers

My predictions about what is going on right now

My picture of the present in AI My predictions about what is going on right now Ryan Greenblatt Apr 07, 2026 38 5 4 Share In this post, I’ll go through some of my best guesses for the current situation in AI as of the start of April 2026. You can think of this as a scenario forecast , but for the present (which is already uncertain!) rather than the future. I will generally state my best guess without argumentation and without explaining my level of confidence: some of these claims are highly speculative while others are better grounded, certainly some will be wrong. I tried to make it clear w

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