Views on when AGI comes and on strategy to reduce existential risk — LessWrong
Summary: AGI isn't super likely to come super soon. People should be working on stuff that saves humanity in worlds where AGI comes in 20 or 50 years…
x Views on when AGI comes and on strategy to reduce existential risk — LessWrong AI Timelines AI Frontpage 140 Views on when AGI comes and on strategy to reduce existential risk by TsviBT 8th Jul 2023 AI Alignment Forum 16 min read 63 140 Ω 57 Summary: AGI isn't super likely to come super soon. People should be working on stuff that saves humanity in worlds where AGI comes in 20 or 50 years, in addition to stuff that saves humanity in worlds where AGI comes in the next 10 years. Thanks to Alexander Gietelink Oldenziel, Abram Demski, Daniel Kokotajlo, Cleo Nardo, Alex Zhu, and Sam Eisenstat for
related reading
- Views on when AGI comes and on strategy to reduce existential risk — AI Alignment Forumalignmentforum.org
- Clarifying and predicting AGI — LessWronglesswrong.com
- AI Timelines — LessWronglesswrong.com
- Why AGI Will Not Happen - Tim Dettmerstimdettmers.com
- Do confident short timelines make sense? — LessWronglesswrong.com
- Why I think strong general AI is coming soon — LessWronglesswrong.com
- Consider chilling out in 2028 — LessWronglesswrong.com
- Where I agree and disagree with Eliezer — LessWronglesswrong.com
- AGI in sight: our look at the game board — LessWronglesswrong.com
- Why do people disagree about when powerful AI will arrive?blog.bluedot.org
- The Case Against AI Control Research — LessWronglesswrong.com
- "Long" timelines to advanced AI have gotten crazy shorthelentoner.substack.com