Will AI convincingly mimic Scott Alexander's writing in style, depth, and insight before 2026? | Manifold

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Scott Alexander, a psychiatrist, writes the blog "Astral Codex Ten" (formerly "Slate Star Codex"), which focuses on topics like probability theory, cognitive science, and AI. As AI language models improve, they might generate blog posts resembling Scott Alexander's writing in style, depth, and insight. Before January 1st, 2026, will an AI generate a blog post indistinguishable from Scott Alexander's writing, as determined by the outcome of one or more experimental tests involving readers evaluating the post? Resolution Criteria: This question will resolve positively if, before January 1st, 2026, a credible blog post or document reveals that an AI has generated one or multiple blog posts meeting the following criteria: Content: The AI-generated blog post addresses a topic similar to those covered in "Astral Codex Ten" or "Slate Star Codex," exhibiting a comparable level of depth and insight. Style: The AI-generated blog post emulates Scott Alexander's writing style, including tone, humo

Will AI convincingly mimic Scott Alexander's writing in style, depth, and insight before 2026? | Manifold Skip to main content MANIFOLD Sign up Open options Will AI convincingly mimic Scott Alexander's writing in style, depth, and insight before 2026? Matthew Barnett 348 Ṁ2.5k Ṁ180k Jan 2 1.2% chance 1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL Scott Alexander, a psychiatrist, writes the blog "Astral Codex Ten" (formerly "Slate Star Codex"), which focuses on topics like probability theory, cognitive science, and AI. As AI language models improve, they might generate blog posts resembling Scott Alexander's writing in st

Will AI convincingly mimic Scott Alexander's writing in style, depth, and insight before 2026? | Manifold

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