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What's up with Anthropic predicting AGI by early 2027? — LessWrong

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As far as I'm aware, Anthropic is the only AI company with official AGI timelines[1]: they expect AGI by early 2027. In their recommendations (from March 2025) to the OSTP for the AI action plan they say: As our CEO Dario Amodei writes in 'Machines of Loving Grace', we expect powerful AI systems will emerge in late 2026 or early 2027. Powerful AI systems will have the following properties: [...] They often describe this capability level as a "country of geniuses in a datacenter". This prediction is repeated elsewhere and Jack Clark confirms that something like this remains Anthropic's view (as of September 2025). Of course, just because this is Anthropic's official prediction[2] doesn't mean that all or even most employees at Anthropic share the same view.[3] However, I do think we can reasonably say that Dario Amodei, Jack Clark, and Anthropic itself are all making this prediction.[4] I think the creation of transformatively powerful AI systems—systems as capable or more capable than

x What's up with Anthropic predicting AGI by early 2027? — LessWrong AI Timelines AI Frontpage 2025 Top Fifty: 10 % 162 What's up with Anthropic predicting AGI by early 2027? by ryan_greenblatt 3rd Nov 2025 24 min read 16 162 As far as I'm aware, Anthropic is the only AI company with official AGI timelines [1] : they expect AGI by early 2027. In their recommendations (from March 2025) to the OSTP for the AI action plan they say: As our CEO Dario Amodei writes in 'Machines of Loving Grace', we expect powerful AI systems will emerge in late 2026 or early 2027. Powerful AI systems will have the f

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