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Why I think strong general AI is coming soon - LessWrong

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I think there is little time left before someone builds AGI (median ~2030). Once upon a time, I didn't think this. …

x Why I think strong general AI is coming soon — LessWrong Future Fund Worldview Prize AI Timelines AI Curated 344 Why I think strong general AI is coming soon by porby 28th Sep 2022 40 min read 141 344 I think there is little time left before someone builds AGI (median ~2030). Once upon a time, I didn't think this. This post attempts to walk through some of the observations and insights that collapsed my estimates. The core ideas are as follows: We've already captured way too much of intelligence with way too little effort. Everything points towards us capturing way more of intelligence with

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