✳flâneur — a map of the web's best reading

Try The 2025 ACX/Metaculus Forecasting Contest

astralcodexten.com · 286 words · saved by 1 readers

...

Try The 2025 ACX/Metaculus Forecasting Contest ... Scott Alexander Jan 20, 2025 58 41 1 Share This is normally when I would announce the winners of the 2024 forecasting contest, but there are some complications and Metaculus has asked me to wait until they get sorted out. But time doesn’t wait, and we have to get started on the new year’s forecasting contest to make sure there’s enough time for events to happen or not. That means the 2025 contest is now open! This year I had hoped to arrange some kind of fair comparison with Polymarket so I could prove my thesis that it usually underperforms M

Explore this link on the map →

related reading