Impact of modelling assumptions on time horizon results - METR

Alexander Barry examines how different modelling choices affect METR's time horizon estimates.

Impact of modelling assumptions on time horizon results - METR Our Work Research Notes Updates Risk Assessment About Donate Careers Search --> Our Work Research Notes Updates Risk Assessment About Donate Careers Menu × Research note: Impact of modelling assumptions on time horizon results CONTRIBUTORS Alexander Barry DATE March 20, 2026 SHARE Copy Link Citation BibTeX Citation × @misc { metr-2026-impact-of-modelling-assumptions-on-time-horizon-results , title = {Impact of modelling assumptions on time horizon results} , author = {Alexander Barry} , howpublished = {\url{https://metr

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