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Do Thing, Do One Thing

jason.ml · 1,032 words · saved by 45 readers

Decisionmaking is hard. When it takes >5 minutes and doesn't matter that much (costs less than ~$500 or ~1/2 a day of time), I will flip a coin. Sometimes good to inject a little bit of randomness to the simulators trying to predict what you are doing. For a medium-sized decision, I tend to lean on two heuristics: (1) Do Thing (2) Do One Thing And an implicit third one: (3) Don't do things with unbounded downside. Here are the times where it has been most valuable: One of my biggest regrets was working two ostensibly full-time roles during school, in which I gave up the opportunity to contribute to two important pieces of work. Since that point, I've always been wary of dividing my life force in multiple places. I suspect very very few people can actually hold multiple threads in their head consistently. My hypothesis is that parallel processing is impossible. You just have the smallest unit of serialization (ie. I think, eg., Elon can keep focused on one of his companies for a day, bu

Do Thing, Do One Thing Decisionmaking is hard. When it takes >5 minutes and doesn't matter that much (costs less than ~$500 or ~1/2 a day of time), I will flip a coin. Sometimes good to inject a little bit of randomness to the simulators trying to predict what you are doing. For a medium-sized decision, I tend to lean on two heuristics: (1) Do Thing (2) Do One Thing And an implicit third one: (3) Don't do things with unbounded downside. Here are the times where it has been most valuable: Should I go to this social event, even though I'm feeling tired? (1) says yes. I don't trust my tiredness —

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