Do Thing, Do One Thing
Decisionmaking is hard. When it takes >5 minutes and doesn't matter that much (costs less than ~$500 or ~1/2 a day of time), I will flip a coin. Sometimes good to inject a little bit of randomness to the simulators trying to predict what you are doing. For a medium-sized decision, I tend to lean on two heuristics: (1) Do Thing (2) Do One Thing And an implicit third one: (3) Don't do things with unbounded downside. Here are the times where it has been most valuable: One of my biggest regrets was working two ostensibly full-time roles during school, in which I gave up the opportunity to contribute to two important pieces of work. Since that point, I've always been wary of dividing my life force in multiple places. I suspect very very few people can actually hold multiple threads in their head consistently. My hypothesis is that parallel processing is impossible. You just have the smallest unit of serialization (ie. I think, eg., Elon can keep focused on one of his companies for a day, bu
Do Thing, Do One Thing Decisionmaking is hard. When it takes >5 minutes and doesn't matter that much (costs less than ~$500 or ~1/2 a day of time), I will flip a coin. Sometimes good to inject a little bit of randomness to the simulators trying to predict what you are doing. For a medium-sized decision, I tend to lean on two heuristics: (1) Do Thing (2) Do One Thing And an implicit third one: (3) Don't do things with unbounded downside. Here are the times where it has been most valuable: Should I go to this social event, even though I'm feeling tired? (1) says yes. I don't trust my tiredness —
Explore this link on the map →saved by
- Katherine Huang
- Victor Truong
- Amir
- Pranav
- Kelly Chong
- Claire Wang
- Gabby Chan
- Linda
- Aryan Naik
- Samuel Lo
- Scott Langille
- Derek Yen
related reading
- you'll make worse decisions by thinking about themaadillpickle.substack.com
- Conviction is the Scarcest Resource: Dialogues About Convictionblog.aayushg.com
- choosing - by vincent huang - a slice of my mindmindslice.substack.com
- Deliberate Oncemindingourway.com
- Mini Blog Post 15: The illusion of doing nothing - Neel Nandaneelnanda.io
- Be less scared of overconfidence | benkuhn.netbenkuhn.net
- The correct response to uncertainty is *not* half-speed — LessWronglesswrong.com
- There are Only Two Types of Decisions | by Judd Antin | One Big Thought | Mediummedium.com
- Getting Things Done - by David Allen | Derek Siverssive.rs
- Explore More: A Bag of Tricks to Keep Your Life on the Rails — LessWronglesswrong.com
- Reversible and Irreversible Decisionsfs.blog
- Four Thousand Weeks - by Oliver Burkeman | Derek Siverssive.rs