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Tick, tock, tick, tock… BING | vetta project

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Am I the only one who, upon hearing the year 2010, imagines some date far off in the future? I think I felt the same way in the weeks before 2000, so I’m sure it will pass. Anyway, another year has gone, indeed another decade, and it’s time for my annual review of predictions. You can find my last annual post here. It’s been an interesting year in which I’ve been exposed to far more neuroscience than ever before. What I’ve learnt, plus other news I’ve absorbed during the year, has helped to clarify my thinking on the future of AI. First, let’s begin with computer power. I recently gave a talk at the Gatsby Unit on the singularity in which I used the following graph showing the estimated LINPACK scores of the fastest computers over the last 50 years. The first two points beyond 2010 are for some supercomputers that are already partly constructed. In the past performance estimates for these kinds of machines near to their delivery have been reasonably accurate so I’ve put these on the gr

Tick, tock, tick, tock… BING | vetta project Skip to content vetta project Home About Publications ← 1973 Lighthill debate Ray Solomonoff → Tick, tock, tick, tock… BING Posted on 7 December, 2009 by Shane Am I the only one who, upon hearing the year 2010, imagines some date far off in the future? I think I felt the same way in the weeks before 2000, so I’m sure it will pass. Anyway, another year has gone, indeed another decade, and it’s time for my annual review of predictions. You can find my last annual post here . It’s been an interesting year in whic

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