✳flâneur — a map of the web's best reading

Longtermism and Computational Complexity - EA Forum

forum.effectivealtruism.org · 372 words · saved by 1 readers

INTRODUCTION This post argues that longtermist effective altruism may not be action-guiding. This is bad news for a theory of how we ought to live. The crux of my argument is as follows: determining…

kaarel 3y 34 1 0 I'm sorry and I might well be missing something, but it seems to me that the main argument in the post is "here is a particular problem with having one's actions guided by models which are so messy as to make calculating probabilities of events impossible". But such models are not used by anyone to make predictions anyway, because they are computationally intractable (a forecaster can't generally use such models to compute probabilities, unless they are secretly in possession of something like something more powerful than a polynomial time SAT-solver)! So since no forecaster i

Explore this link on the map →

related reading