AGI isn't for happy people - by Stefan Kelly
Anatomically modern homo sapiens emerged around 200,000 years ago. As far as we know, complex human behaviour began around 10,000 years ago. We’re talking tools, language, the beginning of civilisation. Which has worked out well, we’ve got a lot done. But the obvious weird thing is that with the very same biological and cognitive capacities we have today, we did essentially nothing for over 190,000 years. The vast, vast, vast majority of human history … is empty. This is the Sapient Paradox i.e. ‘why the hell did it take us so long for us to do anything?’ Vague popular answers: We needed to hit a critical mass of people first A genetic change we don’t know about Language grew enough to enable cultural transmission These never feel satisfying because they are obviously so undefinable, and just generate the why 190,000 years question again. I’m much more compelled by the story Erik Hoel told in The Gossip Trap a couple of years ago: A 'gossip trap' is when your whole world doesn't exceed
warning: borderline chronically online Anatomically modern homo sapiens emerged around 200,000 years ago. As far as we know, complex human behaviour began around 10,000 years ago. We’re talking tools, language, the beginning of civilisation. Which has worked out well, we’ve got a lot done. But the obvious weird thing is that with the very same biological and cognitive capacities we have today, we did essentially nothing for over 190,000 years. The vast, vast, vast majority of human history … is empty. This is the Sapient Paradox i.e. ‘why the hell did it take us so long for us to do…
related reading
- The gossip traperikhoel.substack.com
- The Artificial Intelligence Revolution: Part 1 - Wait But Whywaitbutwhy.com
- A Workaphile’s Apologymoalquraishi.wordpress.com
- Turning 20 in the probable pre-apocalypse — LessWronglesswrong.com
- Why You Don’t Believe in Xhosa Prophecies — LessWronglesswrong.com
- Human Bottlenecksborretti.me
- The gossip trap - by Erik Hoel - The Intrinsic Perspectivetheintrinsicperspective.com
- On Humanity & Human Beings - by Michael Dempseymhdempsey.substack.com
- "Long" timelines to advanced AI have gotten crazy shorthelentoner.substack.com
- Artificial General Intelligence and how (much) to worry about itstrangeloopcanon.com
- Questions about the Future of AI - by Dwarkesh Pateldwarkesh.com
- Views on when AGI comes and on strategy to reduce existential risk — LessWronglesswrong.com