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Selective Optimism: a critique of AI 2040 — LessWrong

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Some context for this post: I’ve been working part-time as a consultant for the AI Futures Project over the last year. Most of the work I’ve done for…

x Selective Optimism: a critique of AI 2040 — LessWrong Plan A AI Frontpage 2026 Top Fifty: 19 % 212 Selective Optimism: a critique of AI 2040 by Richard_Ngo 9th Jul 2026 Linkpost for www.mindthefuture.info 10 min read 13 212 Some context for this post: I’ve been working part-time as a consultant for the AI Futures Project over the last year. Most of the work I’ve done for them has involved critiquing and suggesting improvements for their AI 2040 scenario —some of which were addressed, and some of which weren’t. To their credit, they asked me to write up my remaining critiques into a post that

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