flâneur

Before he wrote AI 2027, he predicted the world in 2026. How did he do?

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Daniel Kokotajlo evaluates his 2021 essay, "What 2026 Looks Like."

You're receiving this from Dagger, Asterisk's new home for timelier takes, short essays, and the occasional provocation between our quarterly issues. If you’ve signed up for our Substack, you're already subscribed — we hope you'll stick around. Daniel Kokotajlo is the founder of the AI Futures Project and the lead author of the influential AI 2027 report: a detailed, narrative prediction of the next few years of AI development, culminating in the rise of superhuman agents capable of wresting control from humanity. But AI 2027 wasn’t his first foray into long-form prediction. In August of…

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