Why America Wins - by Scott Alexander and Romeo Dean
blog.ai-futures.org · 2,451 words · saved by 1 readers
In a word: compute
Why America Wins In a word: compute Scott Alexander and Romeo Dean Apr 24, 2025 156 54 20 Share In our scenario , China lags the US by 3-6 months through 2028. They try to catch up by stealing American algorithmic secrets and finished model weights, but are never able to fully close the gap. Many people thought this underestimated Chinese ability to compete: China has amazing AI talent, a big infrastructure advantage, and top-notch companies. We were impressed by DeepSeek like everyone else. Nothing in our scenario should be interpreted as denigrating their accomplishments. But in the end, it
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