✳flâneur — a map of the web's best reading

Grading AI 2027’s 2025 Predictions

blog.ai-futures.org · 2,809 words · saved by 1 readers

How has AI progress compared to AI 2027 thus far?

Grading AI 2027’s 2025 Predictions How has AI progress compared to AI 2027 thus far? Eli Lifland and Daniel Kokotajlo Feb 12, 2026 143 29 19 Share AI 2027 laid out a detailed scenario for how AI would progress from 2025 through 2027, including quantitative predictions and qualitative descriptions of the AI landscape. Now that we’re in early 2026, we can grade how its 2025 predictions compare to reality! This is exciting to us because we put a lot of effort into filling AI 2027 with concrete, falsifiable predictions, and now we reap the benefit of that effort: an additional method of forecastin

Explore this link on the map →

related reading