Adam Hunt on X: "Recently I've flipped from being bullish to being bearish about AI. I think I'm updating my bearishness to be more solidly bearish. Early thoughts (which I hope to be disproven in the next year or so, I would prefer progress) and my reasoning: The whole 'it turns out if you https://t.co/NERVF9LiAq" / X
Recently I've flipped from being bullish to being bearish about AI. I think I'm updating my bearishness to be more solidly bearish. Early thoughts (which I hope to be disproven in the next year or so, I would prefer progress) and my reasoning: The whole 'it turns out if you
Adam Hunt @RealAdamHunt Recently I've flipped from being bullish to being bearish about AI. I think I'm updating my bearishness to be more solidly bearish. Early thoughts (which I hope to be disproven in the next year or so, I would prefer progress) and my reasoning: The whole 'it turns out if you keep training and scaling the models more they develop broad new capabilities in lots of domains' thesis is wrong (sorry Demis). The recent batch of models haven't got more general, they've got less general. This is most obvious in the fact that their language outputs have got much worse in compariso
Explore this link on the map →related reading
- My picture of the present in AI — LessWronglesswrong.com
- AI 2027ai-2027.com
- AI in 2025: gestalt — LessWronglesswrong.com
- AI progress is about to speed up | Epoch AIepoch.ai
- Dario Amodei — "We are near the end of the exponential"dwarkesh.com
- How fast is AI improving? - AI Digesttheaidigest.org
- Artificial General Intelligence Is Already Herenoemamag.com
- Questions about the Future of AI - by Dwarkesh Pateldwarkesh.com
- Andrej Karpathy — AGI is still a decade awaydwarkesh.com
- I. From GPT-4 to AGI: Counting the OOMs - SITUATIONAL AWARENESSsituational-awareness.ai
- AI 2027ai-2027.com
- Does AI Progress Have a Speed Limit?—Asteriskasteriskmag.com