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How useful is the information you get from working inside an AI company?

blog.redwoodresearch.org · 2,181 words · saved by 3 readers

My median guess: it's as good as a crystal ball that sees 2.5 months into the future.

How useful is the information you get from working inside an AI company? My median guess: it's as good as a crystal ball that sees 2.5 months into the future. Buck Shlegeris and Anders Cairns Woodruff May 11, 2026 23 1 Share This post was drafted by Buck, and substantially edited by Anders. “I” refers to Buck. Thanks to Alex Mallen for comments. People who work inside AI companies get access to information that I only get later or never. Quantitatively, how big a deal is this access? Here’s an operationalization of this. Consider the following two ways my knowledge could be augmented: I get a

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