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If a tree falls on Sleeping Beauty... — LessWrong

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Several months ago, we had an interesting discussion about the Sleeping Beauty problem, which runs as follows: Sleeping Beauty volunteers to undergo the following experiment. On Sunday she is given a drug that sends her to sleep. A fair coin is then tossed just once in the course of the experiment to determine which experimental procedure is undertaken. If the coin comes up heads, Beauty is awakened and interviewed on Monday, and then the experiment ends. If the coin comes up tails, she is awakened and interviewed on Monday, given a second dose of the sleeping drug, and awakened and interviewed again on Tuesday. The experiment then ends on Tuesday, without flipping the coin again. The sleeping drug induces a mild amnesia, so that she cannot remember any previous awakenings during the course of the experiment (if any). During the experiment, she has no access to anything that would give a clue as to the day of the week. However, she knows all the details of the experiment. Each intervie

x If a tree falls on Sleeping Beauty... — LessWrong Sleeping Beauty Paradox Anthropics Betting Paradoxes Probability & Statistics Frontpage 148 If a tree falls on Sleeping Beauty... by ata 12th Nov 2010 10 min read 28 148 Several months ago, we had an interesting discussion about the Sleeping Beauty problem, which runs as follows: Sleeping Beauty volunteers to undergo the following experiment. On Sunday she is given a drug that sends her to sleep. A fair coin is then tossed just once in the course of the experiment to determine which experimental procedure is undertaken. If the coin comes up h

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