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A Technical Explanation of Technical Explanation – Eliezer S. Yudkowsky

yudkowsky.net · 22,151 words · saved by 1 readers

This essay is meant for a reader who has attained a firm grasp of Bayes’ Theorem. An introduction to Bayes’ Theorem may be found at An Intuitive Explanation of Bayesian Reasoning . You should easily recognize, and intuitively understand, the concepts “prior probability”, “posterior probability”, “likelihood ratio”, and “odds ratio”. This essay is intended as a sequel to the Intuitive Explanation , but you might skip that introduction if you are already thoroughly Bayesian. Where the Intuitive Explanation focused on providing a firm grasp of Bayesian basics, the Technical Explanation builds, on a Bayesian foundation, theses about human rationality and philosophy of science.

This essay is meant for a reader who has attained a firm grasp of Bayes’ Theorem. An introduction to Bayes’ Theorem may be found at An Intuitive Explanation of Bayesian Reasoning . You should easily recognize, and intuitively understand, the concepts “prior probability”, “posterior probability”, “likelihood ratio”, and “odds ratio”. This essay is intended as a sequel to the Intuitive Explanation , but you might skip that introduction if you are already thoroughly Bayesian. Where the Intuitive Explanation focused on providing a firm gr

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