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Not even wrong: predicting tech — Benedict Evans

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"That is not only not right; it is not even wrong" - Wolfgang Pauli

Not even wrong: ways to predict technology "That is not only not right; it is not even wrong" - Wolfgang Pauli A lot of really important technologies started out looking like expensive, impractical toys. It doesn’t work, isn’t useful, and the only thing you can do with it is trivial. The engineering isn’t finished, the building blocks don’t fit together, the volumes are too low and the manufacturing process is new and imperfect. In parallel, many or even most important things propose some new way of doing things, or even an entirely new thing to do. So it doesn’t work, it’s expensive, and it’s

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