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Why Humans Are So Bad at Seeing the Future | WIRED

wired.com · 1,209 words · saved by 1 readers

People tend to make predictions while looking through their own narrow lens. The real vision lies in seeing connections.

Save this story Save this story The book of Predictions is a 500-page anthology from 1980, assembled by the same people who gave us The People’s Almanac . It’s a simple conceit: They asked various experts and sci-fi types (with the occasional psychic or spoon-bender) to imagine the next 50 years. I bought the book years ago, left it on the shelf at the office, and never read it. If anything was predicted, it was this pandemic. And yet somehow we didn’t believe it was happening. Many still don’t. I found myself thinking often in the past year about predictions, long- and short-term, and reading

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