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Samotsvety track record

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As of 2022-09-15, we are also 4th on the nascent Insight Prediction leaderboard as a result of one (1) large bet when we correctly foresaw the Russian invasion of Ukraine and put our money where our mouth was: Individually, Samotsvety members are, as of 2022-09-15, occupying all top 4 spots on INFER’s overall leaderboard: For each forecaster below, the time at which their profile was last updated is indicated in a superscript.

Team achievements The Samotsvety Forecasting team at INFER/CSET-Foretell—composed out of Nuño, Misha, Eli—took: 1st place in 2020 , with a relative score of -0.912 (vs. -0.062 by the 2nd best team). Individually we finished 5th, 6th, and 7th . 1st place in 2021 with a relative score of -3.259 (vs. -0.889 by the 2nd best team and vs. -0.267 by “Pro Forecasters”). Individually we finished 1st, 2nd, 4th and 5th . We still hold 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th places in INFER's all time ranking. We still hold 1st place in 2022 , despite us reducing our participation. A few of our forecasters have now become Sup

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