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Edge Master Class 2015: A Short Course in Superforecasting, Class I | Edge.org

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To arrive at the edge of the world's knowledge, seek out the most complex and sophisticated minds, put them in a room together, and have them ask each other the questions they are asking themselves. Edge Master Class 2015 with Philip Tetlock — A Short Course in Superforecasting — | Class 1 | Class 2 | Class 3 | Class 4 | Class 5 | Philip Tetlock: Welcome. There really should be two people on stage here. Barb has been, not only my life partner, she's my research collaborator on this. Without her there wouldn't have been any IARPA forecasting tournaments with the intelligence community. It's hard to say where her work ends and my work begins in the IARPA project. My rule of thumb is that Barb does the deep scientific work and I do the public relations. That's the division of labor. I should also thank John and his crew for all their help: Katinka, Max, Nina, and Russell. I wanted to say a few words about Danny Kahneman and his role in all this. I'm not sure he remembers all the differ

Philip Tetlock: Welcome. There really should be two people on stage here. Barb has been, not only my life partner, she's my research collaborator on this. Without her there wouldn't have been any IARPA forecasting tournaments with the intelligence community. It's hard to say where her work ends and my work begins in the IARPA project. My rule of thumb is that Barb does the deep scientific work and I do the public relations. That's the division of labor. I should also thank John and his crew for all their help: Katinka, Max, Nina, and Russell. I wanted to say a few words about Danny Kahneman an

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