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What do we want the world to look like in 10 years? - EA Forum

forum.effectivealtruism.org · 187 words · saved by 1 readers

We have a lot of uncertainty over the world we'll see in a decade. There are many different dimensions it might vary on. Some of these are likely much more important than others for ensuring a good f…

Stefan_Schubert 4y 20 0 0 I think we have a lot of analysis of very long-term outcomes we're aiming for ("ensure AI is aligned"; "embark on a long reflection"), and a lot of discussion of immediate plans we're considering, and relatively little of what's good on this intermediate timescale. But I think it's really important to understand for informing more immediate plans. This reminded me of a passage from Bostrom's The Future of Humanity : Predictability does not necessarily fall off with temporal distance. It may be highly unpredictable where a traveler will be one hour after the start of h

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