Jaden Kwan

4 followers · 20 following · 1252 views

on the atlas — 39

highlights — 23

Small farmers may not know much about agricultural science, but they know a lot about farming. Their knowledge is intuitive and local – for example, what to do in a particular climate or soil. It is sometimes passed down over generations, and other times determined through long hours of trial-and-error.
Book Review: Seeing Like A State | Slate Star Codex
Most of people’s knowledge is implicit, and most rule codes are quickly replaced by informal systems of things that work which are much more effective
Book Review: Seeing Like A State | Slate Star Codex
The X Of The Future, complaints that the unenlightened masses are resisting The X Of The Future, demands that if the unenlightened masses reject The X Of The Future they must be re-educated For Their Own Good, and (of course) evenly-spaced rectangular grids.
Book Review: Seeing Like A State | Slate Star Codex
we gradually transitioned from systems that were messy but full of fine-tuned hidden order, to ones that were barely-functional but really easy to tax
Book Review: Seeing Like A State | Slate Star Codex
DataLemur: Once you have a fundamental understanding of SQL, DataLemur has a repository of Leetcode-like questions, but specifically for SQL! If you can complete the majority of these questions, you should feel confident in your ability to write relatively complex queries.
How I’d Learn Data Science If I Could Start Over (4 Years In) | by Terence Shin, MSc, MBA | Medium
With 97% accuracy on the subset (100% annotator agreement) of Financial PhraseBank, our curiosity drove us to look into the cases where the model failed.
FinBERT: Financial Sentiment Analysis with BERT | by Zulkuf Genc | Prosus AI Tech Blog | Medium
good forecasters were more likely than bad forecasters to believe Bitcoin would go up at all, but less likely to believe it would go up as much as it did
Who Predicted 2023? - by Scott Alexander - Astral Codex Ten
I mostly didn't research anything too much. But, I did consult Metaculus for a few of these.
Who Predicted 2023? - by Scott Alexander - Astral Codex Ten
I began by collecting data from Manifold Markets for these questions. I then compared those forecasts to the forecasts of superforecasters in the blind data, subset to those who had given forecasts on the S&P500 and Bitcoin questions that were reasonably consistent with the efficiency of markets; I subset to those who forecasted between 30% and 80% for the probability that the S&P500 and Bitcoin would increase during 2023, which were the only reasonable predictions by the time blind mode ended in mid-January.
Who Predicted 2023? - by Scott Alexander - Astral Codex Ten
The first (and most important) step is the recognition that the future and past will look mostly the same. The second step is isolating that small bundle of cases where the two are different.
How do you predict the future? Ask Samotsvety. - Vox
One was the rate at which provinces claimed by China (like Hong Kong, Macau, and Tibet) have eventually been absorbed, peacefully or by force; another was how often control of Taiwan has changed over the last few hundred years (twice; once when Japan took over from the Qing Empire in 1895 and once when the Chinese Nationalists did in 1945); the third base rate used Laplace’s rule. Laplace’s rule states that the probability of something that hasn’t happened before happening is 1 divided by N+2, where N is the number of times it hasn’t happened in the past. So the odds of the People’s Republic o…
How do you predict the future? Ask Samotsvety. - Vox
accurate forecasters’ predictions of geopolitical events, when aggregated using standard scientific methods, were more accurate than the forecasts of members of the US intelligence community who answered the same questions in a confidential prediction market
How do you predict the future? Ask Samotsvety. - Vox
Awareness and acknowledgment of the arbitrariness of Dasein is characterized as a state of "thrown-ness" in the present with all its attendant frustrations, sufferings, and demands that one does not choose, such as social conventions or ties of kinship and duty. The very fact of one's own existence is a manifestation of thrown-ness.
Thrownness - Wikipedia
The less sure you are about what to do, the more important it is to choose options that give you more options in the future.
When To Do What You Love
Observe what he is writing there. You see that, like all the others, he was not better. You thought it, actually; for long years, you thought he was very clever, but he is not. This is something that requires a certain distance
Is Heidegger Contaminated by Nazism? | The New Yorker
People will move in their millions this century, and right now we have a chance to make this upheaval work through a planned, managed peaceful transition to a safer, fairer world.
Where We'll End Up Living as the Planet Burns | TIME
Ljubljana in Slovenia is another alpine location with a rich underground aquifer system and lush agriculture.
Where We'll End Up Living as the Planet Burns | TIME
Churchill could become a booming city. Indeed, Canada will be a key destination for our migrants, and the government is betting on it, aiming to triple the population by 2100 through immigration. Marshall Burke, Deputy Director of the Center on Food Security and the Environment at Stanford University, calculated that global heating could raise the average income in Canada by 250 per cent due to greatly expanded growing seasons, reduced infrastructure costs and increased maritime shipping.15 With a stable, noncorrupt democracy, onefifth of the world’s freshwater reserves and as much as 4.2 mi…
Where We'll End Up Living as the Planet Burns | TIME
synthesis of Christian virtue ethics and Kantian deontology
Kierkegaard's Views on Normative Ethics, Moral Agency, and Metaethics
Kierkegaard gives a teleological interpretation of human actions and agency where the highest good represents our fundamental goal or telos . 5 The highest good represents our final end and seems to be something that gives meaning to life that should be sought for its own sake. However, Kierkegaard denies that moral virtue leads to happiness in this world
Kierkegaard's Views on Normative Ethics, Moral Agency, and Metaethics
Our enemy is the ivory tower, the know-it-all credentialed expert worldview, indulging in abstract theories, luxury beliefs, social engineering, disconnected from the real world, delusional, unelected, and unaccountable – playing God with everyone else’s lives, with total insulation from the consequences.
The Techno-Optimist Manifesto | Andreessen Horowitz
Several hours before the burglary was to take place, one of them wrote a note and tacked it to the door they wanted to enter: "Please don't lock this door tonight." Sure enough, when the burglars arrived that night, someone had obediently left the door unlocked.
Social-engineering the FBI in 1971 - Boing Boing
The formal problem F to be solved by the machine in this case is a game-theoretic one: to maximize human future-life preferences subject to its initia l uncertainty as to what they are, in an environment that includes human participant s. Furthermore, although the future-life preferences are hidden variables, they’r e grounded in a volu- minous source of evidence, namely, all of the human choices ever ma de.
Human-Compatible Artificial Intelligence