Europe 2031
A five-year scenario about AI and Europe's impending slide into irrelevance, with a 2034 epilogue that describes how the collapse of the European model could have been prevented.
January 2025 - DeepSeek and ye shall find Caroline Dubois’ office is buzzing. This morning, a Chinese firm, DeepSeek, released a new AI model, R1. It is cheap and effective, and – although no European firm has played a part in developing it – Brussels is in a fervour. Caroline works on digital technology at the Directorate-General for Trade and Economic Security – DG TRADE, the part of the European Commission that deals with things like tariffs and exports controls. At twenty-eight, she has been there for three years, and feels she is earning the respect of her peers and superiors; but she, un
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