How not to lose your job to AI - 80,000 Hours
About half of people are worried they’ll lose their job to AI.1 And they’re right to be concerned: AI can now complete real-world coding tasks on GitHub, generate photorealistic video, drive a taxi more safely than humans, and do accurate medical diagnosis.2 And over the next five years, it’s set to continue to improve rapidly. Eventually, mass automation and falling wages are a real possibility. But what’s less appreciated is that while AI drives down the value of skills it can do, it drives up the value of skills it can’t. Wages (on average) will increase before they fall, as automation generates a huge amount of wealth, and the remaining tasks become the bottlenecks to further growth. As I’ll explain, ATMs actually increased employment of bank clerks— until online banking automated the job much more. Your best strategy is to learn the skills that AI will make more valuable, trying to ride the wave of automation. So what are those skills? Here’s a preview: These will be especially va
On this page: Introduction 1 1. Why automation often doesn't decrease wages 1.1 What would 'full automation' mean for wages? 2 2. Four types of skills most likely to increase in value 2.1 2.1 Skills AI won't easily be able to perform 2.2 2.2 Skills that are needed for AI deployment 2.3 2.3 Skills where we could use far more of what they produce 2.4 2.4. Skills that are difficult for others to learn 3 3. So, which specific work skills will most increase in value in the future? And how can you learn them? 3.1 3.1 Skills using AI to solve real problems 3.2 3.2 Personal effectiveness 3.3 3.3 Leade
related reading
- Economics and Transformative AI | Tom Cunningham – Tom Cunninghamtecunningham.github.io
- Why I’m not worried about AI job lossdavidoks.blog
- Why Is Everyone In Tech So Sad?noemamag.com
- My Last Five Years of Workpalladiummag.com
- Scenarios for our Economic Futureanthropic.com
- A New Year’s letter to a young person - by Luis Garicanosiliconcontinent.com
- Pyramid Replacement - The Intelligence Curseintelligence-curse.ai
- Notes on AI, Labor, and China - by Jasmine Sunjasmi.news
- After Automation | Everyevery.to
- What will be left for us to work on?normaltech.ai
- Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?dwarkesh.com
- The End of Programming as We Know It – O’Reillyoreilly.com