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Smooth Exponentials for Robotics | Eric Jang

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I recently reread Dario Amodei’s essays "Machines of Loving Grace" and "Adolescence of Technology." In these essays and his interviews, Dario speaks often of a "smooth exponential" of AI capabilities, as if machine intelligence "emerge[s] spontaneously from the right combination of data and raw computation."

I recently reread Dario Amodei’s essays "Machines of Loving Grace" and "Adolescence of Technology." In these essays and his interviews, Dario speaks often of a "smooth exponential" of AI capabilities, as if machine intelligence "emerge[s] spontaneously from the right combination of data and raw computation." It is sobering to contemplate what it means to experience a "smooth, unyielding increase in AI’s cognitive capabilities." Taken very literally, no single agent can really alter the smoothness of the curve, any more than a single atom can alter the course of an exergonic reaction. We…

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