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Soft Nationalization: How the US Government Will Control AI Labs | Convergence Analysis

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We conduct strategic research and advocate for critical governance interventions to mitigate the existential risk posed by AI technologies.

We have yet to see anyone describe a critical element of effective AI safety planning: a realistic model of the upcoming role the US government will play in controlling frontier AI. The rapid development of AI will lead to increasing national security concerns, which will in turn pressure the US to progressively take action to control frontier AI development. This process has already begun¹, and it will only escalate as frontier capabilities advance. However, we argue that existing descriptions of nationalization² along the lines of a new Manhattan Project³ are unrealistic and reductive.…

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