flâneur

Prediction Markets’ Next Frontier: Impact and Decision Markets | Galaxy

galaxy.com · 3,033 words · saved by 1 readers

We use cookies on our Site to monitor whether it is functioning properly, to allow us to improve your website experience, and to provide more personalized services to you. Please review our Cookies Policy for more information. Some of the data collected by this provider is for the purposes of personalization and measuring advertising effectiveness. Some of the data collected by this provider is for the purposes of personalization and measuring advertising effectiveness. Some of the data collected by this provider is for the purposes of personalization and measuring advertising effectiveness. Some of the data collected by this provider is for the purposes of personalization and measuring advertising effectiveness. WRITTEN BY: Zack Pokorny Research Associate TOPICS RESEARCH • JANUARY 12, 2026 Prediction markets achieved their "zero to one" moment in late 2024 and 2025, establishing themselves as mechanisms for aggregating dispersed information into probabilistic signals. The next use cas

research • January 12, 2026 Prediction markets achieved their "zero to one" moment in late 2024 and 2025, establishing themselves as mechanisms for aggregating dispersed information into probabilistic signals. The next use cases may extend this capability beyond answering whether events will occur to addressing what those events mean for asset prices and for organizational decisions. We expect this expansion to take two forms: Impact Markets and Decision Markets. Impact Markets surface the market's collective view on conditional asset valuations (e.g. what bitcoin trades at if the Fed cuts…

saved by

related reading