Building AI Products In The Probabilistic Era
AI turns products from deterministic functions into probabilistic systems. That requires expanding old playbooks (SLOs, funnels, siloed finance), and reasoning in terms of trajectories, Minimum Viable Intelligence thresholds, and data as company operating system.
Building AI Products In The Probabilistic Era August 2025 I was recently trying to convince a friend of mine that ChatGPT hasn't memorized every possible medical record, and that when she was passing her blood work results the model was doing pattern matching in ways that even OpenAI couldn't really foresee. She couldn't believe me, and I totally understand why. It's hard to accept that we invented a technology that we don't fully comprehend, and that exhibits behaviors that we didn't explicitly expect. Dismissal is a common reaction when witnessing AI’s rate of progress. People struggle to re
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