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Manifesting Manifest - Rachel’s Substack

rachelweinberg.substack.com · 2,911 words · saved by 1 readers

An organizer's review

Manifest 2024 was last weekend. Manifest is a tough event to describe: sometimes we call it a festival, sometimes a conference. Last year we said it was about prediction markets and forecasting, but then it covered a bunch of other random stuff. This year we tried to be more honest (and cute) and said it was about predictions, markets, and mechanisms — this means Razib Khan talking about the future of genomics counts, Byrne Hobart talking about discount rates counts, Jay Baxter talking about Community Notes counts. But then what about Agnes Callard and Robin Hanson arguing about humanist vs.…

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