1406.2148
arxiv.org · 8,603 words · saved by 1 readers
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Modeling Probability Forecasts via Information Diversity Ville A. Satopää, Robin Pemantle, and Lyle H. Ungar∗ arXiv:1406.2148v5 [stat.ME] 10 Sep 2015 Abstract Randomness in scientific estimation is generally assumed to arise from unmeasured or uncontrolled factors. However, when combining subjective probability estimates, hetero-…
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