Response to Tyler Cowen's Existential risk, AI, and the inevitable turn in human history
thezvi.substack.com · 6,042 words · saved by 1 readers
Predictions are hard, especially about the future.
Predictions are hard, especially about the future. On this we can all agree. Tyler Cowen offers a post worth reading in full in which he outlines his thinking about AI and what is likely to happen in the future. I see this as essentially the application of Stubborn Attachments and its radical agnosticism to the question of AI. I see the logic in applying this to short-term AI developments the same way I would apply it to almost all historic or current technological progress. But I would not apply it to AI that passes sufficient capabilities and intelligence thresholds, which I see as…
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